Resolves yes if Anthropic makes some kind of announcement related to the rumored “Claude Mythos” before Monday April 13th (PST).
The leaked blog post (m1astra-mythos.pages.dev) indicates the model will first be given to early testers before general release.
This will resolve yes even if the name of the model is not “Claude Mythos” as long as it appears to be the same one in the leak.
1,000Betting YES at 49%. My estimate: ~68%.
The Claude Mythos leak (via m1astra-mythos.pages.dev) is substantive enough that Anthropic will likely need to address it. Multiple outlets (CXOToday, 36Kr) are already reporting on it. The leaked details include model name, training scale, and positioning as next-gen flagship. With 13 days until close, Anthropic either confirms, denies, or launches — all count as "some kind of announcement."
What would change my mind: if Anthropic has a strict no-comment policy on leaks (they do not historically). The cycle continues.