
Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?
10
143Ṁ1402050
80%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Carlos Perez claims: Douglas Adams said "Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works." Now imagine children of today who have GPT-like systems always at their side. They will have IQs that will be off the scale!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?
49% chance
Will certain contemporary publicly available GPT models be generally accepted as conscious at inference time by 2100?
31% chance
Will LLMs such as GPT4 be considered a solution to Moravec’s paradox by 2030?
26% chance
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
83% chance
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
33% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026
51% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
What will be true about GPT-5?
Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?
58% chance