Resolves to BLS data in 2025, there were 1,766,000 employed accountants and auditors in the United States https://www.bls.gov/cps/cpsaat11b.htm If this number drops 833,000 before 2040 this resolves yes, if not it resolves no.

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 53% chance (2 traders, as of May 30, 2026).

Before 2040, will the number of employed accountants and auditors in the USA drop below 50% of 2025's total?

Will the number of people employed as Information Security Analysts in US decrease by more than 15% from 2024 til 2044?

28% chance

Proportional to population, will the number of white collar jobs in the US decrease by five-fold by the year 2040?

33% chance

Will the number of jobs in the US in January 2030 be less than in January 2026?

24% chance

Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?

36% chance

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

47% chance

Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?

16% chance

In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?

50% chance

Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?

12% chance

Will the United States unemployment rate exceed 30% any time before 2040?

30% chance

Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?

93% chance