Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution requires holistic AI analysis of player technique and similar qualitative scouting evaluations — not merely extracting quantitative metrics (e.g. speed) from video footage.

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 68% chance (8 traders, as of Apr 21, 2026).

Before 2030, will it be reported that a professional sports team used AI film analysis to scout players?

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Before 2030, will it be reported that a professional sports team used AI film analysis to scout players?

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2029

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Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution requires holistic AI analysis of player technique and similar qualitative scouting evaluations — not merely extracting quantitative metrics (e.g. speed) from video footage.

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@JaundicedBaboon To me this article seems to report that teams are already using AI tools to analyse game film and get useful insights from film such as speed. I think this would be enough based on your title but maybe this isn't what you had in mind.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48446759/nfl-draft-combine-artificial-intelligence-caleb-downs-arvell-reese-david-bailey

@Zeolite It has to be the more holistic kind of analysis scouts do, like evaluating player technique etc. Not just extracting a few quantitative metrics from video