Will the first fully AI-refereed soccer match take place before 2040?
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22
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2040
48%
chance

In this prediction market, participants will bet on whether the first official soccer match officiated entirely by artificial intelligence (AI) will take place before January 1, 2040.

For this market to resolve as "Yes," there must be a verifiable soccer match at a professional level, in which all referee decisions are made by an AI system with no human intervention. This includes decisions such as awarding fouls, penalties, offsides, and goal confirmations. The match must be recognized and sanctioned by an official governing body (e.g., FIFA, UEFA, CONMEBOL, etc.) or a recognized national soccer association.

The market will resolve as "No" if no such match takes place before the specified date. Resolution will be based on credible news reports and announcements from relevant organizations.

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