Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce at least $500,000 in revenue?
2
1kṀ652028
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This revenue can come from digital purchases, rentals, theater ticker purchases, or ad revenue. The premise, writing, and direction can come from a human, but the visuals and audio must come from an AI model. Some human editing is permitted, as long as over 99% of all the pixels and audio data in the film is not manipulated by humans using conventional editing tools.
There doesn't need to be direct evidence of an AI film meeting this threshold, but if it can be reasonably inferred it has met it (such as obtaining 500M+ Youtube views), this will resolve yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!