Before 2027, will a RCT find that AI improves the productivity of experienced open-source developers?
3
1kṀ375
2026
65%
chance

In early 2025 METR found that AI tools slow down open source developers. Will this change by 2027?

Must find improved productivity within a 95% confidence interval

https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

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