Will I be a regular user of this website in 2022?
Basic
22
Ṁ2163
resolved Apr 7
Resolved
N/A
I will set a reminder on my calendar to update this market at the end of 2022. If the reminder is the first time I've thought about the website for at least 2 months, I will update the market to "No." Otherwise I will update it to "Yes." I will seed the initial bet at 20% probability with $50 of my own fake money. Dec 29, 4:16am: Initial seeding proved difficult. It would be nice if you could add an ante to your market creation, since there's less reason to bet on a market without an ante (you are at the mercy of other people also betting, otherwise you simply lose your money)
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I'm resolving this NO.

Isaac finding them and dm'ing them after they were inactive for months and the fact they haven't used the site since Jan 2022 shows they most certainly were not an active user nor thought about the site before this market closed (other than to reply to Isaac which doesn't count).

@DavidChee This is unambiguously an incorrect resolution. The market creator was very clear about how its resolution would be decided.

If the reminder is the first time I've thought about the website for at least 2 months, I will update the market to "No." Otherwise I will update it to "Yes."

@IsaacKing lol I can see an argument for a N/A resolution, but in no world should this resolve YES. The literally didn't open the website a single time since Jan 2022. Them replying to a Discord message doesn't mean anything, especially when they were so inactive they didn't even bother with the reminder/resolving.

predicted YES

@DavidChee Do you believe that they thought about this website within the 2 months prior to close?

@DavidChee Okay switching this to N/A after discussion from unbiased parties

predicted NO

@DavidChee For both in spirit and very litteral way, this was a NO. Only in just middle litteral as @IsaacKing read it it's a Yes.

predicted YES

The correct resolution of this market is YES. Jasper thought about Manifold on the 5th of December.

predicted NO

@IsaacKing << I will set a reminder on my calendar to update this market at the end of 2022. If the reminder is the first time I've thought about the website for at least 2 months, I will update the market to "No." Otherwise I will update it to "Yes.">> Well, if you want to play litteraly, he has not done that at the end of 2022. That means this dubious way to resolve is void. So this can be resolved by the title and @JasperDay himself admit it doesn't use the title.

predicted NO

@Zardoru s/title/site

predicted NO

Can someone resolve this market to NO ? @JasperDay is obviously no more a regular user of Manifold Markets.

Alright, @IsaacKing, have I activated your trap card?

@citrinitas The comment also works :)

predicted NO

I eagerly await whatever it is you're planning

What if someone pings you (e.g. @JasperDay) in early December? :D
What a #meta question, @JasperDay! (Testing out the new comments section)
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