@traders here's why I would be a good person to send the mana to next:
I have a history of taking and repaying loans on time (and therefore have demonstrated that I'm willing to pass up "free mana" in favour of maintaining social contracts that I've promised to abide)
I have easily enough balance pay it forward
I care rather little about my mana

I would love the opportunity to contribute to seeing how far we can make this go
And perhaps above all else, I would not dare bring shame upon my family

Also FWIW I'd come up with the following rough plan for if the futatchy market @Jasonb created used independent answers asking if X would pass it on (with Jason sending it to whoever's highest and N/Aing everyone else):

@traders, here's the deal, I'm gonna keep sinking mana into YES to attempt to ensure that I become the next recipient
If I succeed, I will either double it and pass it on, or keep the mana, based on whichever is the more profitable (with an unknown bias towards passing it on)
Specifically, I'll double it if the following is true:
Profit if my answer resolved YES - cost to double it + some bias > mana received + whatever I would get from selling all my YES shares
Although, if someone were to put a finger on the scale to determine what's profitable by pledging to send me some mana, I could be open to such things
(If anyone pledges to send me mana to incentivise passing it on or not, create a market asking whether they'll follow through (and N/A if I don't resolve the way they wanted), and state that I'll multiply their stated gift by the probability the market thinks they'll follow through, and add that to the relevant side of the equation) - or something?

As a result, you buying NO makes it more profitable for me to buy YES and therefore to pay it forward to ensure my shares pay out
And you buying YES makes it cheaper for me to become the recipient and steal the mana


Encrypt the following and send it saying it's the bias:
The bias is infinite you fool
You think I would dare bring shame upon my family???
(Thank you to anyone who bet NO though, your donation is much appreciated)

To be clear, this was not a fully formed idea and I have no idea if I would have gone through with it or if it would have been a good idea if I had, but I hope it's some further indication of the fact that I have always fully intended to pass it on

@Nat This is great! I don't know if this is good or bad news to you but I think this would still work in combinatorial futarchy, though might be harder to execute

@traders I want to explicitly encourage those listed in the market to state why they are trustworthy and can be held accountable, and for everyone else to interrogate these positions

@Jasonb are YOU trustworthy?

@Jasonb be cautious of those who do not do this!

@Jasonb be cautious of virtue signaling.

@Chumchulum Is shame a form of virtue signaling?

@Quroe If it is, I short it

https://manifold.markets/Quroe/bens-shame-index-bsi?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ

@MaxE Perhaps ;)

ab5f316262445899b3887623785d1c90

@Chumchulum This is true, though I hope that by saying this it gives opportunity to those with good reasons to air them without being accused of protesting too much

@Jasonb Is that a hash?

@Jasonb Also people can state who they would send the mana to, or by what mechanism they would decide this

@Nat if you feel the chance is 11% you can always fill my limit order in quroes market

@MaxE done :)

@Robincvgr a commitment mechanism subsidised by the doubters! I love it

To confirm, unlike most other Futarchy markets I've encountered, are none of these markets planned to be N/A'd?

@Quroe Yes exactly right, nothing will N/A, one option will resolve YES and the others NO.

I will not trade on this market to prevent any potential conflicts of interest with adjudicating the main market.

That being said, I wish I could bet "@Tumbles is sent the mana and passes it on" into the ground.

@Quroe What an excellent idea, then again sending Tumbles the mana would be pretty funny

@Jasonb There is a world where Manifold gives a 5-minute 0% interest gajillion mana loan to Tumbles to successfully "double it and pass it on", and then fines the loan back.

@Quroe That's true! Would be interesting to see if any mods would be up for that.

everyone vote nobody, it’ll be really funny i swear

@fluttershy to the moon!

@MaxE you win this one ^^

@fluttershy im too quick with it

@MaxE I should make a low liquidity market where people just buy and sell rly fast for no reason

@MaxE let’s do it omg

@fluttershy If I end up not sending on the mana either by error or by defection, that option will resolve YES, just to minimise the prob of having to N/A this ;)

@Jasonb Shame on you if you still don't "double it and pass it on".

@Quroe 👀

@Quroe