
Will there be a new crisis before the 2024 election?
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1kṀ7351resolved Nov 17
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Will there be a new crisis before the 2024 election?
Examples include:
A new viral threat that ends with government regulation similar to 2020
A new war (or Israel/Ukraine heats up to the point that there are significant U.S. boots on the ground)
Major chains of riots (like the BLM riots of summer 2020 - not a single riot, or a brief couple of days of rioting)
Economic crisis akin to 2008/2020 - not just a drop in markets
In the end, this will be based on my judgment, and because of that I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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