Which card will be next banned in Commander?
Which card will be next banned in Commander?
4
190Ṁ254Jan 1
55%
The One Ring
41%
Rhystic Study
34%
Thassa's Oracle
9%
Timetwister
5%
Intuition
If there is a separate CEDH banlist announced on the official commander banlist page, that would not cause a card to resolve YES
https://mtgcommander.net/index.php/2024/01/27/state-of-the-format-2024/
If there are multiple bannings in one day, multiple options could resolve YES.
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Continuing from the question above, are only these 5 cards considered? If one of these cards are not banned as the "next card," do all resolve NO? Or does this market stay open until we get a hit?
(I see that we are capable of adding options to this market.)
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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