In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
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The ban must be announced within 28 days of the the card becoming legal in the format in paper OR the card becoming legal in the format online (i.e. ignoring any pre-release events).
Pre-bans don't count, the card has to spend some time being playable in the format before it's banned.
Alchemy-style nerfs are not bans.
The card must be banned from one of these formats: Standard, Alchemy, Explorer/Pioneer, Historic, Timeless, Modern, Legacy, Vintage, Pauper, Commander, Brawl, Standard Brawl. Bans that hit a subset of one of these formats (such as a card only being banned in Best of 1 Arena Standard) still count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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