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Will any team on the leaderboard of the ARC Kaggle Challenge solve at least 50% of the tasks by the end of the contest without being disqualified?
Details:
Challenge Overview: ARC is hosting a Kaggle Challenge with a grand prize of $1,000,000 for solving more than 85% of the problems.
Current Performance: The best model on the ARC prize website currently achieves a 34% success rate, while human performance is around 85%.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to YES if, by the end of the contest, any team on the leaderboard that has not been disqualified solves at least 50% of the tasks. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
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Looks like some promising results already!
https://redwoodresearch.substack.com/p/getting-50-sota-on-arc-agi-with-gpt