Will Elon Musk release a phone before 2026?
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18
Ṁ14102025
8%
chance
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1W
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Will a smartphone device be released under any brand owned or created by Elon Musk?
Resolves YES if a smartphone device is launched under any of the following brands:
SpaceX/Starlink
Tesla
X/Twitter
xAI
Neuralink
Resolves YES if Musk creates or acquires a company and a smartphone is released under that brand.
Things that are not sufficient to resolve YES
A smartphone device launched under a brand previously associated with Musk (e.g., PayPal or OpenAI) but no longer under his control
A third-party license deal with a Musk brand. For example, Samsung releasing an "X/Twitter" phone would not qualify
In the case that affilliation with Musk is not clear, credible reporting will be used to determine the resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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