Just launched Portfolios! https://manifold.markets/portfolio
Assemble a custom set of markets. For each, specify a YES or NO position.
Then, anyone can buy this position on each market all at once. For example:
Post a comment below with a link to a portfolio you created!
This question will pay bounties to portfolios that I think users like, which may be informed by the number of likes each comment gets.
People are also trading
Hedge your bets with a wide range of
timeframes:
https://manifold.markets/portfolio/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity
One problem with using portfolios is that they sometimes include bets that I don't think are good in with all the good ones. But here's a portfolio of what are probably all safe bets that will resolve within a year or two. I left out most election-related bets because those could make a whole portfolio on their own, and it would take a while to find all the safe-bet elections.
Made one where you can bet YES if you think Democrats will do better than expected in 2024 and NO if you think Republicans will.
I've put together a portfolio which buys YES shares in markets predicting that things will get better inn the UK economy and NO shares in markets predicting that things will go badly.
You can buy the portfolio if you think that things are going to get better (lower inflation, lower interest rates, higher GDP growth and a rising stock market) and you can buy the anti-portfolio if you think that things are going to get even worse!
Quite a few of the markets are mine and I've also included markets from @Noit, @chrisjbillington, @Heaffey, @DavidMoss and @BenDunnFlores.
Will it be possible to add new markets to portfolios in the future? This could be an evergreen portfolio if it will - adding in future months' and years' data as they become relevant!
https://manifold.markets/portfolio/uk-economy-good-news-portfolio
Will the UK Conservative Party have the worst year possible? https://manifold.markets/portfolio/2023-conservative-byelection-wipeou
Eveeyone should buy YES in this perfect portfolio of markets.
Kill bitcoin as a concept with your mind:
https://manifold.markets/portfolio/kill-btc-die
Here's one on whether the 2024 elections will be close: https://manifold.markets/portfolio/2024-close-elections-us
A portfolio for the doomers among you: https://manifold.markets/portfolio/were-all-gonna-die
Unfortunately, I meant to put this one in here as well as a NO bet, but I forgot: https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-humanity-still-exist-in-2100
Combining short term markets into a longer-term portfolio. Nice :)
https://manifold.markets/portfolio/sp-daily-markets-week-29
Bet on/against Luka Doncic as the MVP: https://manifold.markets/portfolio/luka-mvp-2024
I actually made a portfolio even before this feature was created, here is a portfolio with only that market
Every share is a golden egg hand picked by certified experts: https://manifold.markets/portfolio/how-do-i-get-my-husband-to-stop-goi
Every share is a golden egg hand picked by certified experts: https://manifold.markets/portfolio/how-do-i-get-my-husband-to-stop-goi