[j] better segmentation here would be good - is there a way to tell which users came from an ad

[t] many referred; but one piece stocks - they found it on a Twitter ad. [s] we track the campaign, but it doesn't necessarily get everyone

[d] Could just do (ND1 / signups) ratio. As long as that ratio goes up (or is relatively) [j] people from one piece are less good users than normal, then it should go down

[jf] Should put all of the one piece into their own group chat [t] retention would be a lot better if there was a community/subreddit for these

"Will Taylor Swift get married before One Piece Ends" destroys the One Piece Stocks coherence

[d] Tell david if you need people to change posting behavior

[c] will do tag limiting after tag pruning

Were close to getting a lot more traffic from TrumpSC, and Destiny -- but ended up not getting those.

[c] think there's some intangible cultural value, we produced a thing that was much better than expected

[s] worthwhile in utilitarian entertainment; but impact to Manifold's bottom line is not as clear

[d] status of shorts?

[t] put up some shorts, and one person who sponsored to watch it; it was overproduced, and the musical stuff was hard to follow without knowing the rationalist terms. Spent $5k; got 5k viewers, but the production itself wasn't a great ad (just a good show)

Would have been better on Twitter; we scheduled stuff on the restream, but it got blocked on the Twitter side. few problems that interfered with the success of the marketing

[j] seems like a big downgrade for most power users [i] but not for new users

[j] Confusing to have had a subset of the information. When we added the balance changes in the top 3, our users didn't want that info (people seemed happier after we removed it)

[s] big problem is not getting initial feedback before pushing [i] that's been our way of doing things though!

[c] if it's good and you change it, people are unhappy. [s] if we already had something decent, people will care a bit more

[j] power users didn't want this at all, unfortunately

[i] people who are on the dev site checking out are extreme power users

[t] good to have shown it to some new users -- power users will complain about anything that's a ibit different [jf] yeah

[s] if power users say this thing is too complicated, that's bad. if they say "I want these new features", you should ignore them

should be measuring outcomes more - a simple A/B test could have gone a long way here. Still don't know what the sign & magnitude of the change would be

[i] if that trades off against just doing a user test, that's not worth doing. The user test test is much more informative

[jf] could just ask users if they like the change [a] good, but user test surfaces many more bits of info

[iw] Think we could have made the change just by making some numbers bigger, instead of having two separate things.

[j] yeah. there's something to be said about exploring. But have it on James's plan to merge the pages together now

[j] not that bad in the grand scheme of things; they're temporary. They're also very distracting to our team's dev workflow

[i] bad that we have opaque backend processes that only marshall understands

[a] wasn't there a plan to offload knowledge. [j] Biggest thing is how he configured the deploys

[c] some of us need to be doing more devops, process-y, backend-y stuff to have the skills in-house. bit intimidating but worth stepping into it

[s] should have a strong presumption in favor of simplicity [a] +1, example of having GCP instead of Vercel hosting is more complexity to save money, but the tradeoff is complexity

[j] Partly: Manifold love, bet on love, not having a coherent strategy & goal that's the same for the whole team; we're pushing on a bunch of different things

Think we fixed this this month as well, which is why there's a corresponding thing in the success market

[d] at one point over January - nobody was responsible for the core manifold site & improvements

[a] how we got into this was, end of nov/dec we weren't sure if core product was doing

[j] turning point was the feeling of "there's a lot of low-hanging fruit" after user interviews.

think there's a lot of other things - creator program, numeric markets -- there's a lot more still to do

[s] updated in favor of, rather than a separate site, targeting a different audience and reshaping the site to work well for them. Politics betting is the next largest thing by market size

[s] At least, the next best thing is to have realized this and then done this

This had amazing production quality but ended up with very little reach/impact to our user numbers

@strutheo what makes u add this to "what could have gone better?"

@SirSalty idk this is kind of my default mode, i thought they wanted suggestions lol

@SirSalty no complaints from me!

@strutheo oh ok, just wanted to check if there was a specific reason u put it as an option haha