Will General Fusion's Oxford demonstration plant be operational before Jan 1st, 2026?
11
1kṀ6942026
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if two months after the start of 2026, General Fusion has publicly announced that their demonstration plant was operational before the end of 2025 (as the company has predicted, see https://www.science.org/content/article/plans-unveiled-private-uk-fusion-reactor-powered-smoke-rings-and-pneumatic-pistons)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
30% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
31% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2039?
60% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
42% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2033?
37% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
48% chance
Will General Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will General Fusion's MTF machine achieve fusion conditions above 100mm degrees Celsius by 12/31/2025?
33% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2026?
3% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?
9% chance