Who will manifold choose to win in random 1V1 presidential election matchups
Basic
16
Ṁ564
Jan 1
79%
Sam Altman V Jeff Bezos
77%
Gavin Newsom V Kamala Harris
68%
Benjamin Netanyahu V Ron Desantis
55%
Destiny V Jasontheween
41%
Marjorie Taylor Green V Matt Gaetz
27%
Adolf Hitler V Joseph Stalin
24%
Vladimir Putin V Xi Jinping
20%
Vladimir Putin V Donald Trump
20%
An auto veto stamp V an auto sign pen
17%
A paperclip maximizing AGI V a mana maximizing AGI

The first person is yes the second person is no. Please format all your answers the same way. I will start making polls 2 weeks from now and they will each last a week. I won't make all of them in two weeks so be warned.

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Vladimir Putin V Donald Trump

One is fine but I would prefer if this market didn’t have many involving Trump and Biden as Strutheo already made markets for them

A paperclip maximizing AGI V a mana maximizing AGI

There's a chance that a mana maximizing AGI might keep people around to bet against. A paperclip maximizing AGI gives us no hope.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 X-risk vs. S-risk.

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