What will be true about Mitch McConnell’s replacement as the republican senate leader
38
1.6kṀ7086resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YESWhite
Resolved
YESOver 6 ft tall
Resolved
YESMale
Resolved
YESNamed John
Resolved
YESThey will be from a state where the Republican nominee for president wins by a margin of 15% or more in 2024.
Resolved
YESHas 2 or more children
Resolved
NOThey will still be in their first Senate term.
Resolved
NOThey will be from a major swing state (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, or North Carolina)
Resolved
NOThey will be from a state that votes for the Democratic nominee in the 2024 election.
Resolved
NO70 or older
What will be true about the next republican leader in the senate please add answers.
If any answer turns out to be controversial I will resolve to poll
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ167 | |
| 2 | Ṁ165 | |
| 3 | Ṁ95 | |
| 4 | Ṁ73 | |
| 5 | Ṁ60 |
People are also trading
Who will be the next Republican leader in the Senate?
When will Mitch McConnell retire?
Will Mitch McConnell resign as Minority Leader by the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
72% chance
Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
35% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
82% chance
Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?
Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat and in the 2026 Midterms?
45% chance
Sort by:
Now that I think of it, If he's retiring in November, then a lot of these states are are guaranteed not to have any Republican Senators by then. And Georgia and Arizona don't even have a senate election, so even if he doesn't get replaced until the next term, they can't possibly have Republican Senators unless something happens to Warnock Or Ossoff that gives Kemp the ability to replace them.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next Republican leader in the Senate?
When will Mitch McConnell retire?
Will Mitch McConnell resign as Minority Leader by the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
72% chance
Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
35% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
82% chance
Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?
Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat and in the 2026 Midterms?
45% chance