What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)

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132

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95%

Santa is rigged

85%

That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

70%

Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

63%

Dream faked the Manhunt videos

61%

Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

58%

Groundhog Day is rigged

54%

Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

44%

That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

42%

Annie Altman's abuse claims

41%

Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

38%

Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

36%

Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

35%

China made covid 19 in a lab

32%

My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

31%

@strutheo is @notrickspringfield

31%

Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

31%

Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

30%

The CIA killed JFK

28%

This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

27%

Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

What conspiracy theories will be proven correct by 2100. The conspiracy theory must have been true in 2024 so if the US government gets aliens after 2024 but didn't have them before it doesn't count. Please add your own conspiracy theories. I will be lenient in what is considered a conspiracy theory. If something is widely considered to be true in 2100 it will count as a yes resolution but to resolve beforehand it must be definitively proven and verified by multiple news sources. anything not proven true by 2100 will resolve no. Feel free to ask clarifying questions. In will not bet on this market in case of controversy

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Conspiracy Theories

#Aliens

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@Vesperstelo Is this a conspiracy theory? I thought that was the mainstream official explanation?

@TheAllMemeingEye A lot of media sources still say she is completely biologically female, without any intersex conditions. Most notably, that is how it is written on her Wikipedia page.

@Vesperstelo Hmmm, ok I'll admit I'm not an expert so I might've been misled, I thought she had xy chromosomes but mostly female anatomy due to the y chromosome being unusually weak, this might be due to disagreement on definitions

@Vesperstelo many of the sources I'm finding say she "does not identify as intersex", which... gah.

@Vesperstelo https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imane_Khelif

Khelif was born female,[5][6] and no medical evidence that she has XY chromosomes or elevated levels of testosterone has been published.[7][8][9]

hmm, I might be mistaken, would this mean that her facial structure is purely due to tail-end natural female variation then?

@TheAllMemeingEye That’s what they believe, yes.

@noaht2 ROMANES EUNT DOMUS

Santa is rigged

@BrunoParga I think we already have proof of this one? so many whistleblowers have come forward, including my own mom. (my dad still denies everything though.)

@ZaneMiller see?! It's controversial, you yourself admit it!!

@ZaneMiller 你个?

@BrunoParga was thinking of 那个 but sure, that too

@Gritty I feel this one is underrated.

Space aliens, presumably?

@Snarflak this one is clearly true: back in the Middle Ages nobody had ever seen this so-called "melanoma" with a microscope!

bought Ṁ20 Answer #678f57b41cd5 NO

@RedRiver @Slackhammer btw in case it wasn't clear this means the YouTube videos being footage of real events, not the YouTube videos existing

@Slackhammer Do you mean the existence of the effect (guaranteed true but not really a conspiracy) or the truth of every example belief described as such (guaranteed false)?

bought Ṁ20 Answer #zdpkeo51ci NO

@Slackhammer Is this motivated by personal experience lol?

bought Ṁ20 Answer #kp6mqp3sds NO

@Vesperstelo I'm assuming this means regarding that female game developer being in a relationship with the journalist reviewing her game?

Yes

@james How do the joke entries resolve?

@Vesperstelo joke entries?

bought Ṁ5 Answer #4dbc9fcf2024 YES

@Gritty That's a damn good one!

Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

@TheAllMemeingEye this one needs to stipulate something like "was this true as of 2020? was this true as of 2030?" because it seems possible that it will BECOME true at some point despite all "they're listening to us!" claims having been false at some earlier point.

Haha good point, let's say as of 2024

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