By making it to the Supreme Court I mean a case made against the filibuster reaches the Supreme Court. Within 5 years of the abolishment of the filibuster

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 8% chance (12 traders, as of Jun 30, 2024).

If the filibuster is abolished will it go to the Supreme Court within 5 years

If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?

+4% 1d15% chance

If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?

-7% 1d22% chance

If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?

71% chance

Will the Senate eliminate or suspend the filibuster by the end of 2026?

8% chance

If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?

If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?

50% chance

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

13% chance

Will there be a super majority(60 people) in the senate before the filibuster is abolished.

30% chance

Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?

4% chance

Who during, the next Congress, will call on the next Senate to eliminate or limit the filibuster? [Add Answers]