Exact order of LMSYS leaderboard at the end of April 2024

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Ṁ7018

resolved May 1

100%96%

GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09, GPT-4-1106-preview, Claude 3 Opus

0.6%

Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-1106, GPT-4-0125

0.1%

Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-0125, GPT-4-1106

0.1%

GPT-4-1106, Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-0125

0.0%

GPT-4-1106, GPT-4-0125, Claude 3 Opus

0.5%

GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09, Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-1106-preview

0.3%

Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09, GPT-4-1106-preview

0.4%

Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09, GPT-4-1106-preview

0.3%

Claude 3 Opus, GPT-4-1106-preview, GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09

2%Other

Whatever the exact elo order of the LLMs on the LMSYS leaderboard https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

If they have the same elo the order on the site will be used.

Please add answers with commas in between them.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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DanboughtṀ10 YES

What warrants the confidence that Gemini won't sneak ahead of Opus in the next few days? The margins of error overlap a decent amount, and Gemini actually beats Opus in h2h matchups (barely).

@DanMan314 I think the Elo rankings have been pretty stable, but we'll see!

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Agree it’s unlikely! It was at like 95% when I commented this though which seemed like a lot.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I'm not sure if this is meant to be the order of the top 3 models or the order of the 3 models mentioned in the original answer choices or something else.

@Jacy top 3 models not just the three mentioned

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