What warrants the confidence that Gemini won't sneak ahead of Opus in the next few days? The margins of error overlap a decent amount, and Gemini actually beats Opus in h2h matchups (barely).

@DanMan314 I think the Elo rankings have been pretty stable, but we'll see!

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Agree it’s unlikely! It was at like 95% when I commented this though which seemed like a lot.

I'm not sure if this is meant to be the order of the top 3 models or the order of the 3 models mentioned in the original answer choices or something else.

@Jacy top 3 models not just the three mentioned