Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?
23
1kṀ4408
Dec 31
82%
chance

  • Update 2025-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:

    • Trump Veto Outcome: If Trump vetoes successfully, the market resolves as no.

    • Deal Going Through: If Trump's veto is unsuccessful and the deal goes through, it resolves as yes.

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But if Trump vetoes it, it can still resolve as yes?

@HannesLynchburg I don't think the market maker is very active. Thinking of selling out

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if Trump vetoes it successfully it resolves no. If Trump vetoes it unsuccessfully and the deal goes through it resolves yes.

People are also trading

Do you think that the UK should give the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, under the currently tabled deal?
POLL
Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2035?
50% chance
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2027?
22% chance
US and India strike trade deal before July 9 2025?
28% chance
Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
20% chance
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2030?
33% chance
Will Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?
16% chance
Will UK rejoin the EU by the end of 2025
2% chance
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
3% chance
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