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MANIFOLD
Will there be a ceasefire/end to the Israel-Hamas conflict by the end of 2024?
19
Ṁ210Ṁ704
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if there is a ceasefire for at least a week, or if the conflict is widely considered to be over. Resolves no otherwise.

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@Jack_Rose Is it cool if we unresolve this? Seems to have been a mix-up with what year it was about.

Hm, looks like the close date was end of 2023, but the title says end of 2024, and the market was resolved according to the former. Bit of a mess.

Edit: Oh wait no, it was actually originally set to close at the end of 2024 as well. Looks like this was just an incorrect resolution.

predictedYES

"by the end of 2024" -- why did this resolve?

@AlQuinn Physically impossible for one week to pass between now and next year dude, ceasefire has to be a week

predictedYES

@Jack_Rose there is less than 1 week in all of 2024?