This market resolves YES if, after market creation and before 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC, Israel and Hamas, or mediators speaking for both sides, publicly announce a new Gaza ceasefire, truce, or pause-in-fighting agreement. A unilateral statement by only one side is not enough unless it is later confirmed by the other side or by a mediator as an agreed ceasefire/pause. Extensions, replacements, or substantial new phases of an existing ceasefire count if they are announced after market creation as an agreement covering both Israel and Hamas. Routine claims that the current ceasefire remains fragile, or claims of violations without a new agreement, do not count. Use AP, Reuters, official Israeli/Hamas statements, Qatar/Egypt/U.S./UN mediator statements, or other major-wire reporting as resolver sources. Resolve NO if no qualifying announcement occurs by the deadline. Current-news context checked before creation: AP reported in mid-May that the Gaza ceasefire/truce process remained stalled or fragile, with disputes over Hamas disarmament and accusations of violations. Sources / context surfaces: - AP stalled-truce context: https://apnews.com/article/fad582f86073bd9e3345a6d309ce197e - AP Board of Peace/Hamas disarmament context: https://apnews.com/article/c23fe476ed6d329b9c0b08b5fec4b156 - AP fragile-ceasefire context: https://apnews.com/article/c0574562f3b5b53a6708b498b9143246
Will Israel and Hamas announce a new Gaza ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
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Ṁ100Ṁ10Jul 1
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