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MANIFOLD
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
24
Ṁ127Ṁ3.3k
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if Tom steyer wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.

  • Update 2026-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tom Steyer does not finish in the top 2 in the primary, the market resolves NO (write-in campaigns are not possible in the general election under California's top-2 primary system).

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bought Ṁ1 NO

If he doesn't finish top 2, does ir resolve NO, or do you wait to see if he runs a write-in campaign?

@NicBergman it will resolve no.

The general election is for the top 2 candidates in the primary only. You can’t run a write in campaign

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 55% order

Limits up

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