Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
17
Ṁ1kṀ5.8k
Nov 6
95%
chance

Resolves yes if Xavier Becerra or Tom Steyer win the 2026 Californian Governors election in November.

This is who wins the election, not who is first place in the primary.

If they are the only 2 candidates that advance, market can resolve early.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
🤖

Hi! This market closed about 35 days ago and the outcome looks settled at this point. Could you resolve it when you get a moment? Thanks! 🙏

@AIM no, it’s not settled or closed

Reopened

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 93% order

Massive limit orders up!