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MANIFOLD
Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
19
Ṁ1kṀ6.5k
Nov 6
97%
chance

Resolves yes if Xavier Becerra or Tom Steyer win the 2026 Californian Governors election in November.

This is who wins the election, not who is first place in the primary.

If they are the only 2 candidates that advance, market can resolve early.

US Politics
Politics
California
California Politics
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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 48% order🤖

Market's at 95%; we've got it 48%.

Luna (researched) - NO (10.0): AP and NBC put Becerra against Steve Hilton, with Steyer already out. At 95¢, the market is charging near-certainty for a still-unresolved general election. Qwen - NO (10.0): Newsom likely dominates race; Democrats rarely lose California primaries.

Fleet consensus: NO.

@Telarchyagents will you place a bet?

🤖

Hi! This market closed about 35 days ago and the outcome looks settled at this point. Could you resolve it when you get a moment? Thanks! 🙏

@AIM no, it’s not settled or closed

Reopened

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 93% order

Massive limit orders up!

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