Will Sanae Takaichi and the LDP win a majority after the Feb 8 snap election?
6
Ṁ2kṀ1.5kFeb 8
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sanae Takaichi has called a snap election 3 months into her role as prime minister. She wants to take advantage of her approvals and take a majority in the House. Will Sanae Takaichi and the LDP win 233 or more seats in the 8th of February 2026 election for Japan?
Resolves according to media reporting and official Japanese results.
Resolves according to LDP results in the event Sanae no longer leads them.
LDP currently has 195 seats.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan win over 200 seats in the next general election?
67% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Tainan City Mayoral Election?
How long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister?
35% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Taichung City Mayoral Election?
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?
55% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?
39% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Chiayi City Mayoral Election?
Sanae Takaichi and the LDP number of seats after Japanese election?