MANIFOLD
Will Sanae Takaichi and the LDP win a majority after the Feb 8 snap election?
37
Ṁ1.5kṀ11k
resolved Feb 8
Resolved
YES

Sanae Takaichi has called a snap election 3 months into her role as prime minister. She wants to take advantage of her approvals and take a majority in the House. Will Sanae Takaichi and the LDP win 233 or more seats in the 8th of February 2026 election for Japan?

Resolves according to media reporting and official Japanese results.

Resolves according to LDP results in the event Sanae no longer leads them.

LDP currently has 195 seats.

Market context
Politics
Elections
U.S. Congress
Elections: World
Japan
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jesus christ was i wrong holy fuck

@No_uh never underestimate nationalism

@Hakari I think I'd agree more if Sanseito made deeper strides this cycle, but they didn't. LDP just bounced back bigly!

still makes me wonder how democratic nations continue operating on these snap election systems. seems so backward to me

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