Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if Takaichi Sanae, while serving as Prime Minister of Japan, makes an in-person visit to Yasukuni Shrine (Chiyoda, Tokyo) on any date during her premiership. Verification may come from the Prime Minister’s Office (Kantei) site/schedule or clear reports by at least two major outlets (e.g., NHK, Kyodo, Reuters, Asahi, Yomiuri, Japan Times). (japan.kantei.go.jp)

• Sending a ritual offering (tamagushi/masakaki), a proxy visit by an aide, or visits immediately before/after her term do NOT count.

• A “private capacity” visit counts only if later confirmed by Kantei or two major outlets with on-the-record reporting or photos. (japan.kantei.go.jp)

• Resolves NO if she leaves office without such a visit. Resolves N/A only if she never becomes Prime Minister.

Background

• As of October 5, 2025, Takaichi has been elected LDP president and is poised to become Japan’s first female PM pending Diet confirmation in mid-October. (reuters.com)

• She is a regular Yasukuni visitor; as Economic Security Minister she visited on August 15, 2024 (WWII surrender anniversary). (reuters.com)

• Sitting PM visits are rare: the last was Abe Shinzo on December 26, 2013; many PMs instead send offerings. (cnbc.com)

Considerations

• Such visits reliably trigger criticism from China and South Korea, creating diplomatic costs that often deter sitting PMs. (jp.reuters.com)

• If she opts only to send ritual offerings during spring/autumn festivals or on August 15, this market resolves NO under the criteria above.