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MANIFOLD
Will Republican chances to win the house go above 10% again?
5
Ṁ1kṀ2k
Nov 3
12%
chance

Resolves YES if this market trades at 10% or more before it resolves:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
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i was gonna see if it would be possible to push that above 10% for just a brief moment but then i realized limit orders exist and it would be hellishly unprofitable

@bobalobascrob would you like to place a no trade then

@Jack1 no; people can and probably would remove their limit no orders

bought Ṁ50 NO

@bobalobascrob actually you know what, sure

@bobalobascrob not happening, I have 250k no order at 9%

And there is big liquidity, it would cost too much

@bobalobascrob ah i see. well have you considered... polling manipulation? election fraud? agents at polls? egregious mistallying?

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@bobalobascrob won’t matter. The result is going to be too big to rig. Trump is hated now

@Jack1 well who knows what the administration can and will do