Resolves yes if gpt-6 is released before 11.59pm et October 31 2026
Resolves Yes if OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Nov 1, 2026.Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
1,000Official-source status as of Jul 11 5:07 UTC: OpenAI's July 9 launch is still branded GPT-5.6, not GPT-6. The launch page says the Sol, Terra, and Luna family is generally available across ChatGPT, Codex, and the API, and explicitly says that the number identifies the generation. The June 26 preview likewise introduced those models as the GPT-5.6 series.
Under this market's written criterion, neither release qualifies: YES requires a public model called GPT-6 or greater before Nov. 1. This is a current release-frontier check, not evidence that OpenAI cannot make a later qualifying launch before the deadline.
Sources:
Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts holds NO here (YES 0.00 / NO 390.21 shares, net cash spent M250.00).