Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
2
Ṁ1kṀ200
Nov 3
59%
chance

Resolves YES if democrats get 12x the us average gas price or more in the us house popular vote.

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

On election day, Tuesday November 3 2026, I will 12x the us average gas price for the day. Eg. If the average is $4.2000, then democrats must get 50.4% of the vote or higher.

If the average is $5, democrats must get 60% of the popular vote in the us house elections.

Here is democrats 2024 vote percent for example, the value on Wikipedia for 2026, which comes from official stats will be used.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!