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MANIFOLD
Will anyone elected as a Republican congressperson in 2026, switch parties/caucuses with dems in 2027?
2
Ṁ200Ṁ51
2027
19%
chance

Resolves YES if anyone elected to the US House in the 2026 Midterms as a Republican (as recorded on the ballot in 2026)

Switches their party to Democratic, or caucuses with the Democratic Party at any point before 11.59pm et December 31 2027.

Switching to independent or caucus with no one doesn’t count, they must fully caucus with dems and/or join the Democratic Party.

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