MANIFOLD
Who will be the first person to overtake Gavin Newsom as the 2028 dem nominee favourite?
14
Ṁ200Ṁ401
2028
31%
AOC
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Kamala Harris
5%
JB Pritzker
11%
Andy Beshear
5%
Jon Ossoff
31%
Gavin Newsom is never overtaken.
10%
Other

Resolves YES to the first person who overtakes Gavin Newsom as the favourite for the 2028 dem nominee on electionbettingodds.com. https://electionbettingodds.com/DEMPrimary2028.html

If that site shut downs, I’ll use the average of Polymarket and Kalshi to resolve.

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