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MANIFOLD
Who will be the first person to overtake Gavin Newsom as the 2028 dem nominee favourite?
17
Ṁ200Ṁ1.6k
resolved Aug 13
100%99.0%
AOC
0.1%
Josh Shapiro
0.1%
Kamala Harris
0.1%
JB Pritzker
0.1%
Andy Beshear
0.1%
Jon Ossoff
0.2%
Gavin Newsom is never overtaken.
0.2%Other

Resolves YES to the first person who overtakes Gavin Newsom as the favourite for the 2028 dem nominee on electionbettingodds.com. https://electionbettingodds.com/DEMPrimary2028.html

If that site shut downs, I’ll use the average of Polymarket and Kalshi to resolve.

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