Resolves YES to the first person who overtakes Gavin Newsom as the favourite for the 2028 dem nominee on electionbettingodds.com. https://electionbettingodds.com/DEMPrimary2028.html If that site shut downs, I’ll use the average of Polymarket and Kalshi to resolve.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, AOC, followed by Gavin Newsom is never overtaken. and Other are most likely. See the market for live updates (16 traders, as of May 3, 2026).

Who will be the first person to overtake Gavin Newsom as the 2028 dem nominee favourite?

2028 Democratic nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

14% chance

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?

Will Gavin Newsom cease to be the favorite Democratic Nominee before the end of 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]

59% chance

Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?

Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]

46% chance

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

17% chance

If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?

56% chance

Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

37% chance

If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?

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