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MANIFOLD
Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?
6
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k
2027
27%
December 31 2026
27%
February 28 2027
29%
June 30 2027
24%
September 30 2027
22%
December 31 2027
22%
February 28 2028

Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom has the highest % for that date on Polymarket. On that date at 3am EST I will check Polymarkets 2028 dem nominee market.https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028

I will use the % displayed. If equal with another person, I’ll use the exact yes or no bid prices to decide. If still equal, I’ll resolve 50/50.

If I suspect that is incorrect or something has been manipulated I’ll use the yes and no prices or Kalshi.

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California
2028 US Presidential Election
San Francisco
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opened a Ṁ1,250 NO at 1.0% order

@Jack1 resolves no

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