Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?
3
Ṁ1kṀ2602027
75%
June 30 2026
66%
September 30 2026
64%
December 31 2026
57%
February 28 2027
50%
June 30 2027
50%
September 30 2027
46%
December 31 2027
34%
February 28 2028
Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom has the highest % for that date on Polymarket. On that date at 3am EST I will check Polymarkets 2028 dem nominee market.https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
I will use the % displayed. If equal with another person, I’ll use the exact yes or no bid prices to decide. If still equal, I’ll resolve 50/50.
If I suspect that is incorrect or something has been manipulated I’ll use the yes and no prices or Kalshi.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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