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MANIFOLD
Which party will get fourth in the Makerfield by-election?
11
Ṁ200Ṁ1.4k
resolved Jun 19
100%23%
Conservative Party
14%
Liberal Democrats
0.5%
Reform UK
47%
Green Party
0.5%
Labour
1.7%
Monster Raving Loony Party
10%
Restore Britain
5%Other

If an independent candidate does, resolves other.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election

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At some point, one can create too many markets and spread interest too thin. In this case, I could see a first place market and maybe a second place one - but that's about it. The first place market isn't even attracting that much interest unfortunately.