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MANIFOLD
Which party will get fourth in the Makerfield by-election?
8
Ṁ200Ṁ997
Jun 20
8%
Conservative Party
20%
Liberal Democrats
0.8%
Reform UK
50%
Green Party
0.8%
Labour
5%
Monster Raving Loony Party
12%
Restore Britain
4%
Other

If an independent candidate does, resolves other.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election

Market context
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
UK
UK Politics
Elections: World
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At some point, one can create too many markets and spread interest too thin. In this case, I could see a first place market and maybe a second place one - but that's about it. The first place market isn't even attracting that much interest unfortunately.

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