Republican Party mass extinction event?
3
Ṁ1kṀ526Dec 31
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if republicans hold 40 senate seats or less after the 2026 midterms. Includes those who caucus with them. Resolves based on how the senate looks on 10 Jan 2027. Can wait for there is delay in seatings.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
2% chance
Republicans win 2028 US Presidential Election?
39% chance
Will Republicans have high turnout of voters in 2026 midterms?
21% chance
Will Republicans win the 2026 midterms election?
5% chance
Will Republicans have low turnout of voters in 2026 midterms?
50% chance
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
47% chance
Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?
6% chance
Will a Republican win Massachusetts for President by 2050?
18% chance
Will a Republican win New Hampshire for President by 2050?
67% chance
Will a Republican win Maine for President by 2050?
50% chance