MANIFOLD
Month of next NZ general election?
2
Ṁ300Ṁ1.7k
resolved Jan 21
100%99.0%
November 2026
0.1%
January 2026
0.1%
February 2026
0.1%
March 2026
0.1%
April 2026
0.1%
May 2026
0.1%
June 2026
0.1%
July 2026
0.1%
August 2026
0.1%
September 2026
0.1%
October 2026
0.1%
December 2026

Resolution criteria

The last legal date for the next general election is 19 December 2026. The market resolves to the month in which the election is held, as announced by the Prime Minister. Resolution will be verified via the Electoral Commission website or official government announcement.

Background

The next general election is due to be held in 2026. General elections are held every three years but do not have a set date, with the Prime Minister responsible for announcing the date before the maximum term of three years is over. The last general election was held on 14 October 2023.

Considerations

The Prime Minister typically announces the election date several months in advance. Historically, New Zealand general elections have been scheduled to avoid major sporting events and other significant dates. The exact month remains uncertain until officially announced.

Market context
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