Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
4
200Ṁ115
2026
60%
chance

Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.

There is speculation Republican members will retire mid term and this will result in Mike Johnson no longer having a majority.

US Politics
Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Elections
U.S. Congress
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Will Resolve NO if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.

This seems to convey the opposite result as the title? Which one is accurate?

@CollinMatthews

Thanks. It should say will resolve YES

People are also trading

Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
+29% 1d64% chance
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
99% chance
Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2026?
5% chance
When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house?
Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?
33% chance
Will Mike Johnson still be speaker at the end of Trump's term?
14% chance
Will Kevin McCarthy become House speaker again before 2026?
1% chance
Will the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
36% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy