What will Manifold's total mana purchases be in the month after the pivot is implemented and cash payouts enabled?
7
415Ṁ1003
resolved Dec 23
Resolved
YES
$5k or more
Resolved
YES
$10k or more
Resolved
YES
$15k or more
Resolved
YES
$20k or more
Resolved
YES
$35k or more
Resolved
NO
$100k or more
Resolved
35%
$50k or more

Manifold has announced their "Pivot", which is their intention to transform the website into a website with real cash prizes and real money betting: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393

What will Manifold's total revenue from mana purchases be for the 30 days following the day that cash payouts are enabled?

Mana sales stats: https://manifold.markets/stats. For reference, last 30 day mana sold was $6,888 on April 22.

Resolves N/A if cash payouts do not occur by May 2025 or if Manifold clearly states there is no chance of cash payouts occurring ever.

The day the pivot/cash payouts is enabled is included.

If multiple purchasable currencies, will resolve to total $ sales from all currencies.

If mana purchases are halted, each day will still count.

Edit: Starting day is September 17.

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