Will SpaceX receive an additional NASA contract for building and deploying moon landers in 2024?
10
228Ṁ2357
resolved Jan 19
Resolved
NO

Any addition contract over $100M for lunar missions announced with 2025

Market context
Space
SpaceX
Moon
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@Bayesian do you think we could get this market resolved?

It appears this market has met the criteria to resolve to no

@RyanMcComb @mods i think this market can be resolved

Question title says "in 2024"
Description specifies over $100M but says "announced with 2025"

Does it have to be "contracted for" 'in 2024'? Why the 'with 2025'?

Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are making progress in the development of their respective landers, and NASA is preparing to issue formal proposals in early 2025 to move forward with these large cargo missions.

Work taking place in 2024 but formal proposals expected early 2025. Does that count?

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Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
2% chance
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10% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
37% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
45% chance
Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
73% chance
Will SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
12% chance
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