Background
The State of the Union address is a formal annual event where the President addresses a joint session of Congress, Supreme Court justices, cabinet members, and other dignitaries. While expressions of approval through applause are common, overt displays of disapproval like booing are historically rare due to the formal nature of the event.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on events that occur during Donald Trump's 2025 State of the Union address, assuming he wins the 2024 election and delivers the speech. If Trump does not deliver a State of the Union address in 2025, all options will resolve as N/A.
Considerations
State of the Union addresses typically follow strict protocols and traditions of decorum
While partisan reactions are common (standing ovations from one party, sitting in silence from another), outright booing would be a significant breach of traditional decorum
Close date will update once state of the union is scheduled.
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@ian “protesters will interrupt the speech” shouldn’t count as there were no “protesters” who “interrupted the speech”. “Protesters” is a plural and therefore Rep. Al Greens incident and removal shouldn’t count. I would also argue that booing or groans by the dems shouldn’t count as a “interruption” even if it is a form of protest (even if small).
I’ll have a look at the others in a couple hours and get back to you with my evidence.
@GamblingGamer i don’t think protestors really need to be plural, that seems like rule mongering to me. It was interrupted by a protestor, which seems significant to me
@ian The issue is the incident was caused by a Congressman, who “protested” and engaged in an act of “protest”. I just don’t think it’s accurate to label him as a “protester” considering his status.
MTG dressing up in her little trump costume during every Biden SOTU is probably much more apt as a protest, but again she is a congresswoman. What I mean to say is that I think it’s hard to label congresspeople as protestors during a session of congress, when their actions and behaviour can be written off as performance politics.
@ian I’ve just gone through the speech again. He didn’t (in any obvious sense) attack the mainstream media so that should resolve as no.
It should be noted that I do have a bet on Yes for “Goes of script for five minutes”. Unless the bits where trump talks randomly about the people he brought in for political showmanship and performative stuff count as “off script” it should resolve as no.
@JaredHoffman Hmm, I think the "common sense" interpretation is outside protestors, but this is a good point.
@Mana also Al Green is a singular protestor.
(in addition to congressmen shouldn't really count since they are invited guests, not traditional protestors)