The New Zealand election is being held on 14 October 2023 with the official results being returned on 3 November.
Chris Hipkins is the current Prime Minister and leader of the incumbent Labour Party.
The nature of the New Zealand political system makes it less conclusive that there will be a determined result for the Prime Minister as there is a chance of a protracted coalition negotiation.
If Chris Hipkins is the Prime Minister on 1 December 2023, this will resolve "yes".
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zealand-pm-elect-luxon-says-034949812.html
New Zealand's incoming Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said on Thursday he hoped the swearing-in ceremony of the new government will take place on Monday after his National Party reached a deal with ACT New Zealand and New Zealand First.
Coming down to the wire, haha. If the swearing in is delayed by four days, this market resolves YES.