This market resolves YES if, during November, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy. This is determined based on the following method:

• On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".

• Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.

• Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.

• Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term]. The [term] : google ratio is the craziness score (C).

• If on one of the days, C(term, day) > 0.5, and there exists a day in the previous 30 days such that C(term, day) / C(term, past_day) > 5, then this term is indeed CRAZY, and the market resolves YES.

Important exception: scheduled events which are fully expected to trend ahead of time do not count as crazy, even if they meet the craziness criteria. This includes things like:

• Olympics

• World Cup

• Big movie releases

• U.S. presidential elections

Some events in recent years which did meet the craziness criteria are:

• Assassination of Qasem Soleimani

• Death of Kobe Bryant

• COVID-19 pandemic

• January 6 capitol riots

• Russian invasion of Ukraine

• Will Smith slapping Chris Rock

• Death of Queen Elizabeth II

• Israel-Gaza war

• Trump assassination attempt

• Biden dropping out of election

• Iran-Israel war

• Charlie Kirk assassination

Due to the partially subjective criteria, I am not betting in this market.