OpenAI Super Bowl Ad Prop Bets (Add Answers!)
22
150αΉ€1969
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
YES
ChatGPT appears on screen
Resolved
YES
Voice mode featured
Resolved
YES
OpenAI logo shown
Resolved
YES
Sentimental/emotional tone
Resolved
YES
60+ second duration
Resolved
NO
Family setting (child or parent appears on screen)
Resolved
NO
AI-generated visuals or animations shown
Resolved
NO
Celebrity cameo appearance
Resolved
NO
Humorous or comedic tone
Resolved
NO
Interactive element or QR code
Resolved
NO
Patriotic tone
Resolved
NO
Project Stargate mentioned (by name)

Background

OpenAI has announced it will air its first-ever Super Bowl commercial during the 2025 game. Super Bowl ads are known for their high production value and creative approaches, often featuring celebrities, emotional storytelling, or innovative product demonstrations. The average cost for a 30-second spot during the Super Bowl is expected to be around $8 million.

Resolution Criteria

Each answer will be resolved independently based on OpenAI's Super Bowl LVIX commercial when it airs in February 2025.

If OpenAI ends up not airing a Super Bowl commercial, all options will resolve NO.

If there are multiple versions of the commercial (e.g., across different platforms), an option will resolve YES if at least one version satisfies the criteria.

Please add answers, this should be fun!

Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€28
2αΉ€24
3αΉ€19
4αΉ€12
5αΉ€11
Sort by:

I'll resolve more of these later (leaving open the possibility there are multiple versions and/or multiple ads)

@IsaacLiu Not what I was expecting I guess: ChatGPT | The Intelligence Age

@IsaacLiu (exactly 1min on youtube)

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules