Will any popular mobile device feature a touchscreen with the ability to hover your finger above a screen element by the beginning of 2035?
26
67
510
2035
89%
chance

In order to resolve YES, you must be able to hold your finger close to but not touching the screen, and the screen is able to detect that and treat it similarly to hovering your mouse pointer over the element on a desktop device.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BjG18PzDGU

https://embeddedcomputing.com/application/consumer/smartphones-and-wearables/introducing-hover-technology-to-embedded-applications

A prototype is not enough for this to resolve YES, nor is some extreme high end phone that only multi-millionares can afford. Must be something in common use by the middle class.

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bought Ṁ60 of YES

Does the Samsung Galaxy S5's "Air View" count?

The only argument against it that I'm seeing is that it wasn't enabled by default.

sold Ṁ44 of NO

@Imuli Wow, all the way back in 2014! Does it work in browsers? Is there a "hover" event that web pages can react to like they would with a mouse cursor?

predicts YES

@IsaacKing I think so. I still have one somewhere that I could dig out and test with - assuming I can charge a battery - if that information isn't available online.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

What is "popular"? Is there a market share threshold or similar?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@GabiPurcaru I don't have any specific threshold in mind. Anything popular enough that small web developers should keep it in mind when designing their websites.

Feel like there is a ditincy probability (15%) that this stage of technology becomes achievable by 2035 but consumer preference/alternative interaction methods such as eye tracking or AR out perform it preventing it from becoming mainstream

what is a "mobile device"? This exists in some car touchscreens already.

@GabiPurcaru Ah, good question. Cars are indeed "mobile" in one sense, but that's not usually what people mean by "mobile device". Must be something more like a phone or tablet. Something that people can easily carry with them.

predicts YES

Not terribly relevant to modern usage - but perhaps an interesting aside: Mobile phones are called mobile because they were originally made for use in cars and the name didn't change when they shrunk. That usage stemmed from the radio operators' usage of a mobile radio, which you operate from a vehicle, versus a portable radio, which you carry with you.

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