Upon market close, I will look at the new "users" tab and count up how many users there are in each column. If the number of users in the YES column is greater than the NO column, this resovles to YES. If not, it resolves to NO.
1,000
3.00@IsaacKing Honestly I thank you for creating this market. It was a fun one.
But you can quit trying to convince me that you contributed positively to the market resolving to Yes (other than the fact that you resolved the market correctly as the creator)
Indulge me one final attempt.
I will send M$100 to anyone who convinces Zorn that I should get the M$300. 😉
@Zorn I think there’s actually a strong case for Isaac! He was certainly a committed player, and he was definitely putting mana on the line to influence people to vote NO prior to your comment. His switching to YES, which partially caused my switching to YES, was really an inflection point in the market. Isn’t it better to encourage a defection anyway than a new person working for YES, since this way NO loses a contributor?
Also, when he posted that comment on the market, I laughed out loud. I think it’s hilarious and amazing and the sort of fun strategy that emerges on a fun meta market! Isaac King for the M$300.
(Full disclosure: I was writing this before he posted the comment with the bribe! I actually believe this. However, the bribe increased my effort in writing it.)
@Conflux @IsaacKing I'm going to send $150 to Isaac for making this a lively market with his comments, his briberies and deflections.
Still not my teammate
@Zorn Much appreciated. And a note for the future, just to clear the air if needed; If you actually get an agreement from me to be your teammate, I'll always honor it. I hope we can cooperate to our mutual benefit on future markets. :)
@IsaacKing I should have lock you in on the Yes team with a contract early on. Would have saved me lots of headache.
Let's see if we would have a chance to actually be on the same team next time
@IsaacKing You have the most contribution towards the market resolving to No. None other.
@Zorn Disagree! My comment pointing out the strong incentive in favor of people defecting to team NO was correct. I took away that incentive by buying it all up and then selling it at a lower price, and then I ensured the market resolved YES so I didn't have to pay out my offer to NO traders.
@Zorn Also yes, technically, Nikita is right. Me clicking the "resolve to yes" button was a strong contribution towards this market resolving to YES. But I'd understand if you didn't want to count that bit.
@Zorn I was watching share movements and my offer to team NO caused almost nobody to switch teams. (Including last-minute, as evidenced by the fact that this resolved to YES.)
@Conflux Back me up here. Surely you saw I was on team YES as soon as you realized that it would benefit me to not have to pay out my offer to team NO.
@NikitaSkovoroda I didn't closely follow what you did. Wanna give me a brief summary of how you contributed?
@Zorn Welp, we switched back and forth a few times. And stayed on Yes in the last moment. 🙃 That's pretty much all. Also, at least one person whom I directly referred to this market are on Yes as a result, one other sold their No option when I asked them, and none kept No.
Yes, it's not much, but my question is -- do you have a better candidate?
@Zorn I held YES since defecting at Dec 24, 1:08am. I didn't even get the M20 that was promised at Dec 23, 9:11am.
@NikitaSkovoroda
bet 300Mana (or more) on this market and I will resolve this market to Yes
https://manifold.markets/Zorn/for-trasnfer-to-nikitaskovoroda