Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?
Basic
15
แน€705
2030
22%
chance

https://mtg.fandom.com/wiki/Reserved_List

This market resolves to YES if any card that's on the reserved list as of market creation is reprinted in a form that is legal to enter in sanctioned tabletop events before close.

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The reputational value to Hasbro / WorC and thus the value of 'no' increases over time. I think the adjustments made in the Kaladesh era speak best to that.

predicts NO

@PipFoweraker What adjustments made in the Kaladesh era?

predicts NO

@IsaacKing Apologies, the 2011 changes - more Innistrad era, the game at that time was a bit of a blur ๐Ÿ˜ญ

predicts NO

The Magic 30 cards could have been a test of the waters, or an attempted circumvention if they legalize those.

predicts NO

@IsaacKing I think the community response to M30 made the likelihood of further attacks against the RL as it stands less likely, not more.

Does "sanctioned events" include Arena or MTGO events?

predicts NO

@Multicore No, reserved list cards have already been reprinted on MTGO; it only applies to paper.