Will Manifold be the subject of external controversy involving at least 100,000 people by the end of 2023?
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resolved Apr 15
Resolved
NO

Some examples that could resolve this to YES:

  • A Twitter thread that goes viral about how inappropriate a certain market question is.

  • A Twitter thread that goes viral about how Manifold as a platform allows people to incentivize assassinations or other bad actions.

  • A strongly critical news article on Manifold that achieves significant community spread.

A calm, well-reasoned discussion about the pros and cons of Manifold doesn't count. There must be outrage and anger in order for this to resolve YES.

Markets on various sizes of controversy:

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📢Resolved to NO; If this is incorrect, the creator can correct since they are a mod


@IsaacKing Can you resolve the 3 remaining "Controversy" markets , please?

Do all 100k people have to be outraged?

How involved does a person have to be to count (e.g is liking a tweet enough?)

@TomCohen Yeah, likes count. They don't all have to be outraged, they just need to be involved. (For example, 50k people attacking Manifold and 50k people defending Manifold would count.)