Will Manifold be the subject of external controversy involving at least 100,000 people by the end of 2023?
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650Ṁ2230resolved Apr 15
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Some examples that could resolve this to YES:
A Twitter thread that goes viral about how inappropriate a certain market question is.
A Twitter thread that goes viral about how Manifold as a platform allows people to incentivize assassinations or other bad actions.
A strongly critical news article on Manifold that achieves significant community spread.
A calm, well-reasoned discussion about the pros and cons of Manifold doesn't count. There must be outrage and anger in order for this to resolve YES.
Markets on various sizes of controversy:
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@TomCohen Yeah, likes count. They don't all have to be outraged, they just need to be involved. (For example, 50k people attacking Manifold and 50k people defending Manifold would count.)