Will I be trustworthy by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

Will I be trustworthy by the end of 2023?

39

closes 2024

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Right now I'm only trustworthyish.

Edit: And now I'm neither.

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Noa Nabeshimasold Ṁ134 of NO

Just to confirm, this is about you getting a trustworthy badge on Manifold?

Embought Ṁ45 of YES

Trust worthy relative to what? Trustworthy with what goals or expectations? What are your metrics?

Emis predicting YES at 25%

@ES221712 I see, it is decided by the magis of Manifold.

Confluxis predicting NO at 19%

Isaacis predicting NO at 19%

Confluxis predicting NO at 19%

@IsaacKing but is this “Austin” character even that trustworthy??

Isaacis predicting NO at 22%

@Conflux Well they don't have a badge stating as much, that's for sure.

MayMeta bought Ṁ200 NO from 7% to 6%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ30 YES from 6% to 7%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 NO at 6%

Remi vise la mire bought Ṁ10 YES from 5% to 6%

Vo bought Ṁ10 NO at 5%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 5% 🤖

Mira sold Ṁ10,000 NO from 0.7% to 5%

Mira bought Ṁ10,000 NO from 5% to 0.7%

Nico Alberti bought Ṁ10 NO at 5%

Mira sold Ṁ1,686 NO from 3% to 5%

Katja Grace bought Ṁ2,000 NO from 5% to 3%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 5% 🤖

Wal Fisch bought Ṁ80 NO at 5%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 NO at 5% 🤖

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 NO at 5% 🤖

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 NO from 6% to 5% 🤖

Mira filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ25 YES at 5%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 6% 🤖

Mira bought Ṁ555 NO from 9% to 6%

Reynolds bought Ṁ10 NO at 9%

S G bought Ṁ50 YES from 5% to 9%

Trong bought Ṁ13 NO at 5% 🎁

John Smith sold Ṁ2 YES at 5%

Mira sold Ṁ475 NO from 4% to 5%

Mira sold Ṁ481 NO from 3% to 4%

power creep bought Ṁ2 NO at 3%

J. F. Jurchen bought Ṁ10 YES at 3%

Lavander bought Ṁ1 NO at 3%

Lavander sold Ṁ58 NO at 3%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 NO at 3%

Isaac sold Ṁ149 NO at 3%

Mira bought Ṁ2,500 NO from 13% to 3%

higherLEVELING sold Ṁ232 NO from 10% to 13%

higherLEVELING sold Ṁ26 NO at 10%

Alex... filled limit order Ṁ77/Ṁ77 NO at 10%

Noa Nabeshima sold Ṁ134 NO from 9% to 11%

Alex... sold Ṁ32 NO at 9%

CubityFirst bought Ṁ25 NO at 9%

elmo bought Ṁ2 YES at 9%

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ25 YES from 7% to 9%

wylderai sold Ṁ11 NO at 7%

Noa Nabeshima bought Ṁ600 NO from 13% to 7%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ25 YES at 13% (cancelled)

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ500 NO from 23% to 11%

Levi Finkelstein bought Ṁ2 YES at 23%

Yoav bought Ṁ30 NO from 25% to 23%

Lavander bought Ṁ25 NO from 26% to 25%

Lavander bought Ṁ20 NO from 27% to 26%

Lavander sold Ṁ40 NO from 25% to 27%

Lavander bought Ṁ40 NO from 27% to 25%

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Will I have a trustworthyish badge by 2024?40%

UPDATED VERSION: Will I receive a trustworthy-ish badge by the end of the 2023?60%

Will any user be both trustworthy and untrustworthy at the same time by end of 2023?4%

Will I be stripped of my "Trustworthy. ish." badge in 2023?3%

Will @Mira be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?90%

Will @Predictor be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?12%

Will @PeterWildeford be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?90%

Will @Lorxus be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?25%

Will anyone be stripped of their trustworthyishness by the end of 2023 due to misresolution?33%

Will @Wobbles be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?46%

Will anyone be stripped of their trustworthyishness by the end of 2023 due to inactivity?45%

Will @firstuserhere be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?91%

Will a trustworthy-ish user get banned by end of 2023?16%

Will @AlexLiesman be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?61%

Will @Tripping be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?72%

Will @benjaminikuta be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?45%

Will @Zardoru be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?52%

Will @DesTiny be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?39%

Will @itsTomekK still be trustworthy-ish by the end of 2023?72%

Related markets

Will I gain the trustworthy-ish badge in 2023?18%

Shaked Koplewitz

Will I have a trustworthyish badge by 2024?40%

UPDATED VERSION: Will I receive a trustworthy-ish badge by the end of the 2023?60%

Will any user be both trustworthy and untrustworthy at the same time by end of 2023?4%

Will I be stripped of my "Trustworthy. ish." badge in 2023?3%

Will @Mira be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?90%

Will @Predictor be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?12%

Will @PeterWildeford be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?90%

Will @Lorxus be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?25%

Will anyone be stripped of their trustworthyishness by the end of 2023 due to misresolution?33%

Will @Wobbles be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?46%

Will anyone be stripped of their trustworthyishness by the end of 2023 due to inactivity?45%

Will @firstuserhere be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?91%

Will a trustworthy-ish user get banned by end of 2023?16%

Will @AlexLiesman be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?61%

Will @Tripping be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?72%

Will @benjaminikuta be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?45%

Will @Zardoru be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?52%

Will @DesTiny be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?39%

Will @itsTomekK still be trustworthy-ish by the end of 2023?72%